We’re back in the States this week for the 3M Open, and it’s no surprise the field is pretty watered down, as many stars are taking some time off to rest in preparation for next month’s playoffs. A few top guys make the trip to TPC Twin Cities like Tony Finau and Hideki Matsuyama will be the headliner of the pack, with several young players also priced near the top on DraftKings.
DraftKings kept their typical layout, giving us the $20 Pitch + Putt with $250,000 to first out of the $1,000,000 prize pool. I will be looking to build through my choices below with the goal of winning this contest.
If you missed it, we’ve added two new metrics to our PGA models – Perfect% and SimLeverage. You can find an explainer on these measures here.
The Cliff Notes version is that you can use SimLeverage to quickly find leveraged games in tournaments, while Perfect% is great for finding the best prized games for cash games.
And don’t forget the tools FantasyLabs has to offer, like our Lineup Optimizer to effortlessly create up to 150 lineups, or use our Lineup Builder if you like to create your lineups by hand.
Now let’s move on to the plays of the week.
Tony Finau $10,500
It’s pretty crazy to watch the ownership projections this week, as everyone up to $8,800 is projected for at least high teen ownership, with some bumping up to 30%. Finau should be one of the most held options, but with it all pretty flat and his price not being too high, I’ll start with one of the best players in the business.
Finau had to make a clutch putt on Friday at the Open to see the weekend, and he took advantage of it with a big Sunday that helped him finish the week’s T28. I’ll be looking for him to continue the momentum of this round this week on a course where he’s made the cut three straight and posted a Q3 in 2020. He knows what he has to do around TPC Twin Cities, and that’s a course that suits his game to succeed.
Sungjae Im $10,000
Sungjae is on the lower end of the ownership spectrum in this range, as he’s had a bit of an odd season. He’s struggled since being forced out of the PGA with a COVID issue, with two missed cuts and an 81st place finish last week at St. Andrews. I don’t expect his game to continue to struggle for long, and it’s definitely a good event for him to put together a solid finish. When he’s right, he’s a top 3 player in that area, and in big contests for DFS, he’s worth a dart to see if he can turn things around at TPC Twin Cities.
JT Poston $8,500
Really like the chalk pivot to Poston this week. He was dominant just a few weeks ago at the John Deere Classic and got a birth at the Open with that win. He didn’t make the weekend in Scotland, but his two rounds of 1 over the par-73 weren’t too much of a concern. I expect him to still show some form and compete in an event that matches his game – especially with his excellent putting ability – I’ll be looking to pivot out of the chalkier Adam Long and Brendan Steele.
Martin Laird $8,200
Laird is the player who seems to be the best combination of low ownership and high rating in the Bailey model in this price range. He seems to be getting lost in the mix this week despite a third-place finish at the recent Barracuda Championship. That makes top 15 finishes in two of his last three appearances with a 30th in between showing him in similar form to the chalk surrounding him. I’m going to take advantage of the property here to change some lineups this week because things are really condensed in this lineup.
Emiliano Grillo $7,600
My favorite pivot this week is Grillo finished Adam Svensson. They are similar players, although Canadian Svensson has been hot with his putter recently. However, the gap is not as great as the ownership differential between the two players.
Grillo was a similar story to Poston above, as his outstanding play at JDC took him to The Open at the Old Course. His first-round 78 eliminated any chance of making the cut at the Open, but he still bounced back with a 68 on Friday. He needs to feel good about his overall game, and if he can channel that good Rd 2 result at St. Andrews, he has the skills to be one of the top finishers this week at 3M.
Joo Hyung Kim $7,300
Kim has shown his abilities in recent weeks as the young South Korean climbed the rankings in Scotland to qualify for the Open the following week. He finished a respectable T47 at the Open after a T23 finish at the US Open. The twenty-year-old clearly has a lot of talent, and I will continue to pilot him as he heads into the 3M Open. Our model agrees, giving Kim the highest rating among those in the bottom half of this level. It’s likely to be a popular selection in this range, so be careful who you build it for big-field contests, but in general I don’t mind chalking it up below $7,500.
Hank Lebioda $6,900
Last year at 3M, Lebioda was on a tear and one of DFS’ most popular games. He shot 69-69 to make the weekend but was forced to retire due to a frightening health issue for his father. Fast forward a year later, and he’s in the lower price tier and not garnering attention due to his top-down play. I’m going to go check him out this week, though, as he’s still in good shape and has an edge well above this price point. The Bailey model also ranks it as the best at this level, and if I may add the tale of some unfinished business, it all adds up to a great low-ownership game in the Sleeper section.
Austin Cook $6,700
I’m going back to Cook again this week. He’s starting to find the game a bit after a top 15 in Canada started a four-game cut streak, including two top-20 finishes. He’s always been an iron player who can set up birdie passes when his game is good. If we can catch him with a positive week approaching, he’s another player at this level who could make a difference in the big GPP lineups.